Below is an article by the Detroit News that was printed on the first page of the Sunday paper on May 4, 2008. I sold the buyers this home and helped them lease out their existing home in Warren. Also, the Detroit News quoted me several times in the article. Enjoy!
Paul Mychalowych
Keller Williams Realty – Oakland County Michigan Short Sale Real Estate Expert
Dan and Lyndsey Schwegler bought their home in South Lyon last year and rented out their Warren house. “My only motive was financial reasons. We liked our old house and put a lot of work in it,” he said.
As the spring home-selling season begins, metro Detroit buyers will delight in the high home inventory and falling prices: They will get more for their money in every price range, from location to amenities.
Much has changed since 2005, when the local market was at its peak. Places like Novi, Birmingham, Royal Oak, Ann Arbor and Sterling Heights, for instance, are more affordable now as home prices reach pre-2000 levels.
“Buyers are out there in this market, but they are looking for a deal. When they see the houses in the right range, they come out and start buying,” said Paul Mychalowych, an agent with Keller Williams in Farmington Hills. “In the range of $200,000 to $400,000, you can buy in downtown Birmingham now. A few years ago, you couldn’t touch it for under $500,000.”
Because metro Detroit home values and sales are down substantially from three years ago and interest rates have come down, the buyer’s market is heating up.
Home prices have dropped 23.2% since peaking in December 2005, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices. And Michigan home sales fell 26.5%, from the peak of 137,558 homes sold in 2004 to 101,094 in 2007, according to the Michigan Association of Realtors.
Time to upgrade
Dan Schwegler, 28, an actuarial analyst for AAA Michigan, and his wife, Lyndsey, 27, an actuary with an auto club, decided to give up their Warren starter home to grab a deal in South Lyon.
The Schweglers bought the 3,600-square-foot home even though they couldn’t sell their 1,400-square-foot home in Warren. They leased it for the next two years in hopes that the market improves. But even if they lose money on the Warren house, they will more than make it up with the $54,000 they saved on the new house.
“The person we are buying from is losing the same percentage-wise, so it is a huge gain for us,” Dan Schwegler said. “We are planning on starting a family soon and we don’t want to ever move again.”
They were able to buy the 4-bedroom, 2 1/2 -bath house in the Lyon Ridge subdivision for $358,000 after the original buyers backed out when their financing fell through.
“My only motive was financial reasons. We liked our old house and put a lot of work in it,” he said. “But we are only going to move up and I doubt the market is going to get this bad again for at least a decade.”
Now, the Schweglers live in a luxurious home with granite countertops, a large kitchen, a three-car garage, hardwood floors throughout and a master bathroom that makes them feel like they are in a five-star hotel every day.
Those amenities are not uncommon in the $200,000 to $400,000 price range. That money also buys you into better neighborhoods in cities like Milford, Pleasant Ridge, Chelsea, Ann Arbor, Birmingham, Carleton and Sterling Heights.
In the under $200,000 price range, buyers can find many choices in communities such as Allen Park, Westland, Dearborn, Ypsilanti, Detroit, Howell, Harrison Township, Fraser, Clinton Township, Warren, Holly, Farmington Hills, Keego Harbor, Waterford, Monroe, Royal Oak and Ferndale, according to data compiled by multiple listing service Realcomp in Farmington Hills.
And in the $400,000 to $1 million range, homes in the more exclusive neighborhoods in Novi, Bloomfield Hills, Birmingham, Ann Arbor, New Haven and Northville are seeing price reductions as well.
“The market cool-off has made all these areas more affordable,” said Mychalowych. “People are finding updated kitchens and bathrooms, stainless steel appliances. And builders are throwing in all kinds of incentives including landscaping.”
Mychalowych said many buyers are still sitting on the fence waiting for prices to drop more. But trying to time the market can be tricky. Recently he sold a home in Birmingham that had been on the market for a year. The price started at $350,000, but it sold for $260,000 to a couple that had been watching it for a year.
Detroit prices dropping faster
Maureen Maitland, vice president of index services at Standard & Poors, which issues the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, said metro Detroit gave back price gains made in the market since January 2000. Then, the index was set to 100. By the end of February, Detroit became the only city of the top 20 nationwide with an index value of under 100, at 97.61.
“We have a nationwide decline in home prices that is occurring because of a 15-year run-up,” Maitland said. “While all home prices are coming down, Detroit’s are coming down more than others because of what is happening in the Detroit economy.”
Dana Johnson, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said that from 2001 to 2005, Michigan house prices rose at a 3.5% annual rate compared to the national 8% growth rate.
“The implication for Michigan is that its housing sector will start recovering when the local economy begins to expand,” Johnson wrote in an April 30 briefing. “I continue to believe that Michigan will finally begin to grow again in 2009.”
Home sales fell 7% in metro Detroit in 2007 as the region lost 93,400 jobs over the past two years, according to Lawrence Yun, senior research forecaster for the National Association of Realtors.
Most economists are certain that the bottom of the housing market hasn’t been reached yet, but some expect that to occur later this year.
“There is absolutely nothing in data out this week — not from the Case-Shiller home price indexes or RealtyTrac’s foreclosure stats — that contains even a hint that the housing is bottoming out,” said Bernard Baumohl, managing director of the Economic Outlook Group in Princeton, N.J.
